Boxing from the Principality Stadium, Cardiff, Saturday 28th October
All-conquering world heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua arrives in Cardiff for his title defence boasting a fearsome 19-fight unbeaten record. Having KO’d former ruler Wladimir Klitschko last time out, sending Dr Steelhammer to the canvas in 11, surely he’d progress onto another big name opponent in the division?
Parker, Wilder, Fury – a rival worthy of the pay-per-view cost. How does Carlos Takam grab you? Yeah, we thought so. The little-known African stand-in doesn’t do much to inspire bookmakers either, and has been priced as a 22/1 rank outsider by Betfair to upset the odds. That means punters are left with a straight choice – will AJ win by KO or on points? Our expert betting tips and predictions, provided by a team of boxing professionals, tells the tale.
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Anthony Joshua vs Carlos Takam – Fight Preview and Predictions
19 fights, 19 wins, 19 KOs. We couldn’t ask for more from Anthony Joshua. Yet, in true British sporting fashion, there are plenty out there who want to see him fail. Critics suggested the saviour of the division couldn’t take a punch – after all, it’s easy enough blowing away overweight opponents. That argument was put to bed when the golden boy of the sport’s top division climbed off the seat of his pants in the sixth round to batter Wlad into submission. Question asked – answer given.
The hard-hitting king of the ring didn’t have the stamina to go deep into a fight – a string of early KO wins failing to test his fitness. If only a true opponent could take a punch, drag him into deep water, he’d surely drown. Wrong again. Two of Joshua’s last three fights have progressed into the second-half of the contest – Klitschko in 11 and Breazeale in seven. Stick a tick in that box too.
So, we’re now left with a heavyweight champion from Britain who fully deserves to be a heavyweight champion, and one of the most exciting we’ve produced since the days of Lennox Lewis. Odds compilers are paid up members of Team Joshua, making him no more than 1/20 (Betfair exchange) to get to a perfect 20. Another KO/TKO win is 1/12 with the same firm. Is Takam the man to finally drag Joshua the 12-round distance? I don’t think so, but there’s 12/1 (Boylesports) there if you disagree.
Few average boxing fans would’ve seen much of opponent Carlos Takam in the past, but the interesting thing about the French-based African is he took Joseph Parker the distance last year. With a record of 35 wins, three defeats and one draw, Takam has more than served his time in the game, but this represents a massive leap up in class, and at 36-years-old too.
Anthony Joshua vs Carlos Takam – Betting Tips
Since dropping a points decision to Parker last May, Takam has bounced back with two wins, both coming inside the distance. A fourth-round KO, followed by a second-round KO of Ivica Bacurin, means the 6ft 1inch orthodox now has a 69 per cent knockout average, and will be aiming to test Joshua’s chin early in the fight. Coming in as a late replacement for Kubrat Pulev, who was forced out through injury, it’s unlikely Takam will be fit enough to travel the championship distance.
That’s why you’ll find an away win on the scorecards as big as 80/1 (Betfair). Building on that knockout ratio will be the challenger’s game-plan, and a KO/TKO win is more likely, 20/1 doing the rounds, a price that’s also biggest when getting your money down at Betfair. Traders there are particularly keen to oppose the Cameroon born dreamer.
So, we’re back to where we started, choosing between a Joshua KO and points win. We’re going with the KO, due to Takam being a stand-in. There’s not too much to get excited about with that price either, but there’s more to think about the deeper we dig.
AJ by knockout in the exact method of victory market is 15/8 through bet365, and that’s the NAP of our fight betting tips. Betfair are also giving out 19/10 on either fighter to be knocked down in the first round and, with a fast start from the champion expected, that’s also worth a go in your predictions.