Championship, kick-off at 3:00pm Saturday 14th October 2017 from Elland Road
Home comforts counted for something in this fixture last season, the team playing in front of their own fans winning each of the two meetings, 2-0 Leeds and 1-0 Reading. Bookmakers have kept that in mind when pricing up Saturday’s renewal, making the Elland Road side favourites for the points. That’s difficult to argue against.
There’s little doubt Reading were a better team last term too, and after missing out in the play-offs, they are stuck down 20th, just a point better than the relegation zone. More misery in store for Jaap Stam? It certainly looks that way. Picking through our match predictions and betting tips explains more.
Expert Leeds v Reading Betting Tips
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Team News – Leeds
Fifth in the table, Leeds are just four points off leaders Cardiff as they aim to build on the disappointment of last season, where they fell out of contention for the major places down the home-straight. Six wins and two draws against three defeats leaves them on 20 points, but each of those losses have come in their last four, two in their last two. Beating Ipswich 3-2 at this venue on September 23rd is sandwiched between defeats.
A 1-0 loss to Millwall was a surprise, and they offered little when sinking to Cardiff across the border on their penultimate start. Bad enough, but made all the worse by the fact they were hammered 3-0 by Sheffield Wednesday last time out. Hooper score a first-half double, before Lee added a third later in the contest, a match Leeds never looked like winning. It’s all about taking your chances, and boss Thomas Christiansen agreed when speaking to the press at full-time, saying The Owls had two in the first 45 and scored both.
The locals are expected to have plenty more luck in front of goal following the international break, and are tight at 2/11 (William Hill) to net at least once, while those who fancy another dry spell in the final third can have 15/4. Hills also lead the way if you’re after a home win, their even money the best around. Worth a place in your accas, and likely to be popular in Saturday betting tips.
Team News – Reading
Where did it all go wrong for Reading? We expected them to come flying out of the traps this season, desperate to make up for last year’s near miss, with that fire and hunger in their belly. Stam is on course to be a top-level manager, with or without Reading, and would prove it again. That all reads well on paper, but it hasn’t worked out that way, The Royals winning only two of their first 10, losing five.
Their last five reads lose-draw-draw-lose-lose, beaten by Millwall and Reading in their last two. Interestingly, both teams have scored in each of Reading’s last four league games, and a repeat of that looks worth a place in our predictions, certainly with Sportingbet trading a market best price 17/20. 2-1 was the final score in those recent losses to Millwall and Norwich – over 3.5 goals again is there to be shot at, 5/2 top price with 888Sport.
Reading to win is the outsider of three in the match betting market, and that will come as no surprise to followers of the form. If you do rate the upset as a bet worth keeping close, Coral offer one of the best prices around, trading 3/1, although that seems to be the general feeling at the time of writing. +1 on the handicap? 9/8 (Sportingbet).
Leeds vs Reading – Championship Tips and Betting Predictions
I find it difficult to make a case for Reading winning this. They impressed me last season, but their confidence seems shot to pieces at the moment and I can only guess they are stuck in the past, still mulling over that failed play-off attempt. Whatever the reason, it’s not really important here. Leeds are the safer option of the two, and we have them at evens (William Hill) as the NAP of our betting tips. All things considered, that makes perfect sense.
We’re going to go for a low-scoring game and pick 2-0 Leeds as the ace of our correct score predictions, a bet that will nab you 9/1 through Bet Victor. Reading have conceded two goals in each of their last two outings, and in three of their last four. It’s now on the home defence to stand firm and show they’re good enough for another promotion push.
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